The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 14 fixture revealed, according to statistics

The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 14 fixture revealed, according to statistics
The Premier League provided plenty of action across another fantastic weekend of games.Arsenal’s thrilling north London derby win over Tottenham Hotspur was undoubtedly the highlight and they deserved the 4-2 success, while Liverpool sneaked a victory in added time over rivals Everton thanks to a rare Divock Origi goal.11

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang celebrates his opening goal in the north London derby

But do the results we got reflect what actually happened in the matches we witnessed?Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 13th round ofPremier Leaguematches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

 Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team may have been lucky to score so many in that match, or have an above average finisher scoring hard chances others would miss.

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Cardiff City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

Real result: 2-1xG result: 1.09-1.1511

Cardiff City boss Neil Warnock celebrates victory

Crystal Palace vs Burnley

Real result: 2-0xG result: 1.92-0.3011

Crystal Palace players celebrate Andros Townsend’s goal against Burnley.

Huddersfield Town vs Brighton and Hove Albion

Real result: 1-2xG result: 0.59-1.1911

Florin Andone nets the winner for Brighton

Leicester City vs Watford

Real result: 2-0xG result: 1.41-1.0811

Leicester City stars Jamie Vardy and James Maddison celebrate scoring against Watford.

Manchester Cityvs Bournemouth

Real result: 3-1xG result: 2.83-0.2711

Manchester City remain top of the Premier League having beaten Bournemouth.

Newcastle United vs West Ham United

Real result: 0-3xG result: 1.11-2.6211

West Ham ended Newcastle’s good run.

Southampton vs Manchester United

Real result: 2-2xG result: 0.62-0.9011

A goal from Romelu Lukaku couldn’t help Manchester United to victory over Southampton.

Chelsea vs Fulham

Real result: 2-0xG result: 2.17-0.2911

Chelsea stars Eden Hazard and Cesar Azpilicueta applaud their fans.

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur

Real result: 4-2xG result: 2.20-1.0911

Arsenal players celebrate during their excellent north London derby win over Tottenham.

Liverpool vs Everton

Real result: 1-0xG result: 3.04-1.2311

Liverpool players celebrate with match-winner Divock Origi.

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